Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Property market price trend analysis

 Property market price trend analysis
Luning
7  economic performance data released yesterday, the three most important indicators, CPI up down 1.8%, PPI down 8.2% year on year, industrial added value up by 10.8%.
CPI and PPI to be expected were all negative. industrial added value is also expected to continue positive growth, but we still need to add an additional three points: the added value of industrial production process refers to the value of the currency reflects the new industrial enterprises are generally covered in the Why, this month into the statistical side GDP of the industrial added value is relatively narrow.
statistical sense of the macro-industrial value added by the industrial enterprises of different ownership together to create industrial added value, according to statistics of enterprise ownership, July the private sector's hot and cold, be released. construction steel prices fell markedly, it is tightening credit, investment growth slowing to an external signal.
range of negative growth of foreign trade continued to run, the monthly decrease of 19.4% year on year,bailey UGG boots, down somewhat narrowed. But in July Department of Foreign as September,Discount UGG boots, October as Although hard to offset the trade losses, but after all, In view of the domestic release of statistical data are still partial good or bad economic performance is considered a leading indicator for the most intuitive, July power output up by 4.8%, while the corresponding increase in industrial added value of 10.8%, on the other hand have to consider in July is the summer solar terms, the whole society into the air-conditioning power consumption peak interval of one year.
through analysis, comparison, the key data to digest, experts can look into the depths the intrinsic link between the data 2 months after the third quarter, fourth quarter and even the possibility of broader economic trends, not said to be very accurate, but also pretty close. The author of this is only the most directly associated with the livelihood of the price, the property and the stock market may trend.
prices, due to contraction of credit and investment has significantly before the end of the possibility of inflation can be caused by the basic rule As to whether the cause of stagflation,UGG shoes, must observe the global market based on asset prices and raw material prices. As domestic demand is very strong (15.2%) and both CPI and PPI is the apparent contradiction is negative, unless the government procurement and subsidies to stimulate domestic demand to further increase the intensity large, even before the end of both CPI and PPI meteoric rise, that does not directly affect the livelihood of the people.
the property market, first half of the property market soaring nearly 5 months, a great credit factors, the first 7 months of 28% while the growth rate of investment 42.7% increase in real estate investment, July is too loose to tighter credit from the watershed, once the credit growth down, skyrocketing property prices to continue to take away the key pillars have been.
stock market, the tightening of credit factors remain continue to enlarge, and the investment is paid the second half of the peak year, will result in pre-fight future stock market volatility,UGG boots cheap, volume and stock volatility, will be narrowed, leading to short-term operation of the good economic fundamentals continue to trend gradually becoming clear, but the operation is difficult to maintain a good trend estimate is larger than the pre.

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